Document Type
Article
Publication Date
2023
Abstract
This chapter builds on earlier work (Franklin 2022) that explored the mechanism tying party choice at the individual level to election-level turnout rates. It employs CSES surveys from 28 countries over the course of 3 to 5 elections. It builds on past findings that used error correction models to confirm the role of negative feedback in maintaining equilibrium rates of party support; and elaborates on a parallel mechanism that helps to maintain an equilibrium level of turnout, through voter reactions to evolving levels of electoral competition. The chapter treats voter turnout, voterparty policy congruence, and party support as aspects of a single dynamic process at the party and birthyear-cohort levels, also helping to validate the dynamic account of turnout processes suggested in earlier work.
Comments
Chapter contributed to a festschrift for Richard Rose.